Recently I’ve been seeing a lot online “Ketosis doesn’t matter” regarding weight loss. Unfortunately for the authors and YouTubers involved, the science doesn’t seem to agree with their position.
For a simplistic definition, ketosis is when your liver creates ketones to be used for energy. Your liver will create ketones in certain conditions without being in ketosis but clinically a blood ketone reading of 0.5 MMOL or above is seen as nutritional ketosis. At this measurement, you will have needed to keep your carbohydrates low enough for your liver to produce ketones on its own and your body will mainly be using fatty acids and ketones as a fuel source.
I do understand the sentiment behind not focusing on ketone levels. For one, once you are actually in ketosis it doesn’t really matter how “deep” you are to use fat as an energy source. The amount of BHB in your blood doesn’t correlate with the amount of fat loss but for certain medical conditions, it actually does matter. For example, epileptic patients.
Marilyn Strathern described Goddard’s Law with this quote "When a measure becomes a target, it ceases to be a good measure." Blood ketones are just a measure of what’s happening in your blood, they should not be a target to shoot for. Otherwise, you could just take exogenous ketones, raise your blood ketone level to 3.0 and assume that you would be “burning more fat.”
With all that being said actually being in a state of nutritional ketosis does matter scientifically. Before going into the science behind this it’s important to understand the science behind the “Calories In / Calories Out” theory.
The largest clinical trial ever done to test this theory was called the “Women’s Health Initiative.” It followed almost 50,000 women for 7 years as they reduced their fat intake and kept their caloric intake below their “metabolic rate” (This term is another blog post on its own but for now let’s just go with it) The trial costs the US taxpayer over 400 million dollars. This was the study that was supposed to support the low fat, low calorie, “eat less move more” hypothesis. Instead what it proved was that for long term sustained weight loss, it doesn’t work. Over 7 years, women reduced their daily calorie intake by 361 calories per day. They reduced their percentage of calories from fat and increased their carbs. They also increased their daily exercise by 10%.